India Today-Axis Opinion Poll : SP-Cong alliance closing gap with BJP
Source: The Sangai Express
New Delhi, January 31 2017:
Results of the final opinion poll done by Axis-My-India for the India Today Group show that the BJP has lost about 25 seats in in UP between the previous opinion poll done in December and the latest one done in January.
Axis-My-India predicts that the BJP would bag between 180-191 seats if elections were held right now.
The SP-Congress alliance comes in a close second, bagging between 168-178 seats.
The biggest loser as a result of this alliance has been the Bahujan Samaj Party, which seems to have lost 40 seats between December and January.
The last one month has seen significant changes in the vote-share percentages of the major political formations.
The BSP seems to have lost more than one-fifth of its votes, crashing from 26% vote share to 20.1%.The opinion poll numbers show that the Congress allying with the Samajwadi Party has added more than 7% votes to the SP's vote percentage.
The SP by itself had 26% votes.
The SP-Congress alliance is projected to bag 33.2% vote share.
The BJP's own vote share has remained largely unaffected by the new alliance.
In fact, the BJP's vote share is projected to go up from 33% in December to 34.8% in January.
The election in UP now is essentially a two-horse race between the BJP and the SP-Cong alliance.
In December, the BJP had more than a 100 seat lead over its nearest rival, the SP.
But the Akhilesh-Rahul alliance has completely altered the political dynamics of UP.
Even though the Congress is a diminished force by itself, its partnership with the SP, has helped add 76 seats to the so-called secular alliance within a span of a month.