TODAY -
Religious Landscape in Manipur
- Part 2 -
Prof RK Narendra Singh *
Decadal growth rate:
Table-2
Religion-wise decadal growth rate (%)
Religion | 1951 to 1961 | 1961 to 1971 | 1971 to 1981 | 1981 to 1991 | 1991 to 2001 | 2001 to 2011 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hindu | 38.52 | 31.49 | 34.87 | 24.18 | -5.91 | 18.56 |
Christian | 122.3 | 83.66 | 51.02 | 48.6 | 17.7 | 59.85 |
Muslim | 30.62 | 46.06 | 39.96 | 34.44 | 42.99 | 25.61 |
Sikh | 946 | 96.56 | -3.5 | 31.15 | 27.06 | -7.62 |
Buddhist | 884.85 | 52.31 | -4.44 | 50.32 | 170.89 | 267.81 |
Jain | 418.67 | 80.98 | -30.75 | 37.13 | 9.27 | 15.81 |
Others | - | - | -57.33 | -60.37 | 1572.69 | -0.64 |
Not stated | - | -96.02 | 129.17 | -99.32 | 1661.67 | 937.75 |
Manipur | 35.04 | 37.53 | 32.46 | 29.29 | 17.94* | 31.8 |
* Excluding three sub-divisions of Senapati district viz., Mao Maram, Paomata and Purul.
The state had registered a dramatic decline of population growth with decadal growth rate of 17.94% (2001) as against 29.29% (1991) and thereafter witnessed a population spurt of 31.8% in 2011which was running quite above the national figure of 17.64% (2011). The unusual figures observed at 2001 and 2011were the upshots of excluding population of three sub-divisions of Senapati district viz., Mao Maram, Paomata and Purul in the census, 2001.
A much fluctuated decadal growth rates was observed among the minority religious communities and it was because of their less population compositions which might be affected due to few thousand in-migrant or out-migrant of their communities from one census year to another. However, when one looks at three major religion groups, the Hindu and the Christian had more or less declining growth rate since 1951 to 2001 (Hindus had negative growth in 2001 i.e., - 5.91%) while Muslim maintained a slightly stagnant trend.
There after the Christian’s population spurt was witnessed (59.85%) followed by the Muslim (25.61%) and the Hindu (18.56%) in 2011. Nonetheless, a great variation of growth rates at each census year was persisted over the religion groups. For instance; the Christian had decadal growth rates of 122.3% in 1951 while the Hindu and the Muslim had 38.52% and 30.62% respectively.
Abrupt decline of Christian’s decadal growth rates from 1991 to 2001 and again spurts at 2011were due to the non-inclusion of population of three sub-divisions of Senapati district viz., Mao Maram, Paomata and Purul in the Census, 2001. In any case, it is confirm that growth rate of Christian community is faster than its counterpart Hindu and Muslim communities; and again Muslim has faster than that of Hindu.
Table-3
District & religion-wise decadal growth rate (%) from 2001 to 2011
District & religion-wise decadal growth rate (%) from 2001 to 2011
District Manipur Hindu Muslim Christian Sikh Buddhist Jain Others Not stated
Valley 15.72 17.35 25.89 12.39 -14.18 508.50 -99.41 -1.02 813.27
Hill 61.87 39.01 18.94 63.51 4.94 195.06 302.47 20.08 1103.08
2-value 32616.336 849.305 13.199 3719.504 7.446 153.235 35598.832* 85.243 18.064
df 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
P-value <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.006 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
Imphal East 15.50 14.37 27.43 16.85 -1.09 719.23 -99.90 4.55 1104.96
Imphal West 16.56 17.07 27.05 29.29 -12.22 506.08 -98.28 4.51 1123.95
Bishnupur 13.93 17.59 31.68 -30.70 -56.92 2433.33 -99.95 -0.78 239.63
Thoubal 15.93 20.82 23.57 -15.84 3.92 111.11 -99.95 -16.67 1255.17
2-value 40.929 188.912 39.048 1018.052 23.248 58.179 2285.788 901.516 211.196
df 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
P-value <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
Senapati 206.13 43.99 158.86 247.78 -9.09 88.05 341.66 23.43 1068.09
Tamenglong 26.14 -6.02 -58.83 27.38 -11.94 5971.42 418.18 16.14 3010
Churachandpur 20.28 14.19 12.16 19.60 21.6 953.19 383.33 75.94 7 1179.34
Chandel 21.85 89.61 33.13 18.25 8.8 566.66 145.83 -61.60 487.75
Ukhrul 30.70 32.81 26.56 29.96 12.5 655.95 337.5 166.66 936.11
2-value 73429.020 849.305 831.254 82349.465 4.304 487.507 5.499 501.943 42.517
df 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
* 1 cells with expected counts less than 5.0; 2 (Chi square); df: degree of freedom.
Overall decadal growth rate (%) from 2001 to 2011for valley was 15.72% as against 61.87% for hill. It is further worthwhile to mention that the decadal growth rate for all the religion groups except Muslim and Buddhist were found growing faster in hill than that of valley.
Even the Hindu population was significantly growing faster in hill than valley. In contrast, Sikh, Jain and Other religion groups had negative decadal growth rate in valley. Statistically there is a great variation of religion-wise decadal growth rate between valley and hill as evident by all the P-values are <0.01.
To be continued..
* Prof RK Narendra Singh wrote this article for Hueiyen Lanpao
The author is Professor and Head of Biostatistics, RIMS, Imphal.
This article was posted on September 16, 2015.
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